[kictanet] Most data wireless technologies ( except 3G ) to become obsolete when kenya gets undersea fiber?

bitange at jambo.co.ke bitange at jambo.co.ke
Fri May 30 11:30:46 EAT 2008

Dear Aki,
You are using ver communistic terminologies such as "control", "limit". 
The market will adjust all these.  We have sufficient players to make us
understand the products.



> The success or failure of the undersea fiber is going to largely depend on
> the takeup capacity by service providers. If the service providers
> themselves are the bottlenecks to end users, then the fiber capacity
> takeup
> is just not going to happen. Just as the regulator put in place controls
> to
> encourage moves to digital broadcasting, I'd recommend these :
> a) Short term policies that should already be in place ( for the next
> 12-24
> months ):
> - No more licenses to be issued for any wireless local loops operations
> - No more licenses to be issued for wireless internet services ( incase of
> mobile operators, besides 3G or above )
> - An immediate creation of a special license category for cable companies
> with a very minimum license fee
> - For existing wireless operators upgrade compliance schedules to meet the
> gigabit capacities requirements
> - Encourage cable companies to not only build national networks but also
> consider providing fttp, ftth technologies
> - A public awareness campaign about the limitations of wireless
> technologies
> - A large bill board to show the countdown of the number of days for the
> arrival of the fiber
> I have a strong feeling that should such measures not be put in place,
> kenyans are going to be stuck with a new terminology called Congestion at
> Service Providers. And we will be back to square one with silly internet
> packages as 265k/64k, 512k/128k etc. If the end user take up of bandwidth
> is
> so low due to local technology restrictions, one can only imagine the
> impact
> on the overall takeup of capacity.
> Rgds,
> Aki.
> On Thu, May 29, 2008 at 8:53 PM, aki <aki275 at googlemail.com> wrote:
>> Firstly, a definate congratulations to safarciom for the bold 3G step
>> forward and the vision of the future. Well done!
>> And to the visionaries in cable operator companies such as KDN, JTL,
>> TKL,
>>  you have set the destiny for kenya. Your planning for the future is on
>> track.
>> Now onto the issue about all wireless technologies becoming obsolete
>> with
>> the arrival of the undersea fiber. I believe these technologies will
>> become
>> a hinderance to internet growth in plenty parts of the country. End
>> users may need to be more informed about the ROI on these technologies
>> as
>> the date for the undersea fiber nears :
>> I list my points below :
>> 1) For household broadband adsl services, can the technologies deliver
>> 8Mbit/2Mbit services?
>> 2) For business adsl and broadband services, can the technologies
>> deliver
>> 10-100Mbit services?
>> 3) Do the base stations have the capacities to sustain large gigabit
>> connectivity?
>> 4) Are all the base stations inter-connected via fiber?
>> 5) Those base stations that have microwave inter-connections, are there
>> any
>> planned upgrades to gigabit and above?
>> 6) To keep continuation of the wireless business, will the providers
>> become bottlenecks to end users?
>> 7) Will cheaper backbone rates become expensive due to local loop costs?
>> I think the future of internet distribution will revert to fiber to
>> dslams'
>> and copper to end users in the early stages with wireless as
>> redundancy. Does the regulator have measures in place to discourage
>> service
>> providers from becoming hinderances? To encourage takeup of capacity,
>> discourage backward trends due to older technologies and accelerate
>> internet
>> infrastructure growth, what would be the short terms and longer term
>> policies ?
>> Your comments/corrections are welcome.
>> Thank you.
>> Aki.
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