[kictanet] Most data wireless technologies ( except 3G ) to become obsolete when kenya gets undersea fiber?

[aki]

The success or failure of the undersea fiber is going to largely depend on
the takeup capacity by service providers. If the service providers
themselves are the bottlenecks to end users, then the fiber capacity takeup
is just not going to happen. Just as the regulator put in place controls to
encourage moves to digital broadcasting, I'd recommend these :

a) Short term policies that should already be in place ( for the next 12-24
months ):

- No more licenses to be issued for any wireless local loops operations
- No more licenses to be issued for wireless internet services ( incase of
mobile operators, besides 3G or above )
- An immediate creation of a special license category for cable companies
with a very minimum license fee
- For existing wireless operators upgrade compliance schedules to meet the
gigabit capacities requirements
- Encourage cable companies to not only build national networks but also
consider providing fttp, ftth technologies
- A public awareness campaign about the limitations of wireless technologies

- A large bill board to show the countdown of the number of days for the
arrival of the fiber

I have a strong feeling that should such measures not be put in place,
kenyans are going to be stuck with a new terminology called Congestion at
Service Providers. And we will be back to square one with silly internet
packages as 265k/64k, 512k/128k etc. If the end user take up of bandwidth is
so low due to local technology restrictions, one can only imagine the impact
on the overall takeup of capacity.

Rgds,


Aki.



On Thu, May 29, 2008 at 8:53 PM, aki <aki275 at googlemail.com> wrote:

> Firstly, a definate congratulations to safarciom for the bold 3G step
> forward and the vision of the future. Well done!
>
> And to the visionaries in cable operator companies such as KDN, JTL, TKL,
>  you have set the destiny for kenya. Your planning for the future is on
> track.
>
> Now onto the issue about all wireless technologies becoming obsolete with
> the arrival of the undersea fiber. I believe these technologies will become
> a hinderance to internet growth in plenty parts of the country. End
> users may need to be more informed about the ROI on these technologies as
> the date for the undersea fiber nears :
>
> I list my points below :
>
> 1) For household broadband adsl services, can the technologies deliver
> 8Mbit/2Mbit services?
> 2) For business adsl and broadband services, can the technologies deliver
> 10-100Mbit services?
> 3) Do the base stations have the capacities to sustain large gigabit
> connectivity?
> 4) Are all the base stations inter-connected via fiber?
> 5) Those base stations that have microwave inter-connections, are there any
> planned upgrades to gigabit and above?
> 6) To keep continuation of the wireless business, will the providers
> become bottlenecks to end users?
> 7) Will cheaper backbone rates become expensive due to local loop costs?
>
> I think the future of internet distribution will revert to fiber to dslams'
> and copper to end users in the early stages with wireless as
> redundancy. Does the regulator have measures in place to discourage service
> providers from becoming hinderances? To encourage takeup of capacity,
> discourage backward trends due to older technologies and accelerate internet
> infrastructure growth, what would be the short terms and longer term
> policies ?
>
> Your comments/corrections are welcome.
>
> Thank you.
>
> Aki.
>
>
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/pipermail/kictanet/attachments/20080530/941d85e6/attachment.htm>