[kictanet] Huawei interview on China-Africa Podcast

[S.M. Muraya]

Recommended read @ http://time.com/5594366/5g-internet-race-huawei

That choice might be easier if one side did not have such a clear
commercial advantage. Huawei is around 18 months ahead of rivals in rollout
capacity. Its 5G base stations and wireless networking equipment are
smaller and more economical to run than 4G, as well as typically 30%
cheaper than rivals’. Many countries’ 4G infrastructure is already provided
by Huawei, which would allow the firm to upgrade them to 5G more quickly
and at lower cost than by using a competitor. And the competition is not
exactly robust. No specialist companies in the U.S. are able to roll out
5G, meaning American consumers and businesses will have to rely on Huawei’s
foreign competitors, chiefly Sweden’s Ericsson or Finland’s Nokia, if the
ban persists.

...The question now is whether the Trump Administration will find a
compromise. Chinese firm ZTE almost collapsed last year after similar
action to that taken against Huawei. Eventually, President Trump negotiated
a $1 billion fine in lieu that allowed ZTE to keep trading.


On Sun, May 26, 2019 at 3:08 PM Patrick A. M. Maina via kictanet <
kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke> wrote:

> Thanks for sharing Adam, and for the candor. Some quick thoughts...
>
> 1. It will be interesting to see whether Huawei infrastructure can stay
> within SLA bounds over time, for critical enterprise applications - once
> the *chip substitution* strategy kicks in. There must have been
> commercially and/or technically material reasons why US chips were
> preferred by Huawei over substitutes.
>
> 2. Can Huawei guarantee infrastructure upgrade-ability (and long-term
> stability + performance) without proprietary US components? Is there enough
> time to catch up to years of US R&D?
>
> 3. Looks like Chinese tech companies should have teamed up to acquire *Red
> Hat* to mitigate their server OS dependency risks (link #1). Now *IBM*, a
> US company, owns Redhat. Is IBM immune to the trade war? Hoping there
> will be no "announcement" from that end.
>
> Excerpt: "Red Hat plans to offer solutions backed by technical service for
> Huawei servers, including Huawei's rack, blade, and high-density servers,
> as well as the KunLun Mission Critical Servers."
>
> 4. How important is *Europe *market to Huawei's survival? How will it
> impact the company's future viability / cash flows - and how will that
> impact Africa, given the heavy dependence? Will loss of Europe revenue
> impact Huawei's ability to fund the numerous "Plan B" projects that have to
> be concurrently executed - together with additional forward-looking R&D?
>
> 5. How does *ARM *pullout affect Huawei's "Plan  B" for smartphones? Can
> *TSMC* (link #3) really fill the gap? How fast and for how long?
>
> Excerpt from *Wired *(link #2): "The open-source version of Android is
> designed for ARM-based chips. It also works on x86 processors, made by
> *Intel*, *AMD*, and others, but those US-based companies had already cut
> ties with Huawei as part of the sanctions. Which means, absent ARM,
> Huawei’s most obvious backup plan effectively goes poof. The company would
> need not only to redesign its own chips from scratch—a process that takes
> years—it would find itself cut off from the world’s most popular operating
> system. This is like telling Coca-Cola that it can’t use carbonated water.
> "
>
> Let's hope the trade war does not continue for too long because everyone
> stands to lose. Paradoxically I'm actually rooting for Huawei to prevail /
> survive because it could lead to greater levels of diversity and choice
> within the global tech ecosystem.
>
> Also hoping that African decision-makers will use this opportunity to
> demand "no spy" "no back-doors" agreements (and independent security and
> quality assurance arrangements) with Huawei as part mitigation for the
> lock-in risks, pending the development of more robust longer-term
> dependency mitigation solutions.
>
> Have a nice weekend.
>
> Links:
>
> 1. Huawei Announces Partnership with Redhat (before IBM acquisition)
>
> https://www.huawei.com/en/press-events/news/2017/4/huawei-oem-agreement-redhat
>
> 2. (Opinion) If Huawei Loses ARM's Chip Designs, It's "Toast"
> https://www.wired.com/story/huawei-loses-arm-chip-design/
>
> 3. TSMC will continue making chips for Huawei
>
> https://www.gsmarena.com/tsmc_will_continue_making_chips_for_huawei-news-37196.php
>
> Brgds,
> Patrick.
>
> Patrick A. M. Maina
> [Cross-Domain Innovator | Independent Public Policy Analyst - Indigenous
> Innovations]
>
>
>
> On Saturday, May 25, 2019, 3:45:19 PM GMT+3, Adam Lane via kictanet <
> kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke> wrote:
>
>
> For anyone with 50 minutes to spare and interested to listen to this
> podcast interview I did… Eric and Cobus do go for the fairly tough
> questions.
>
>
>
> https://chinaafricaproject.com/podcast-china-africa-huawei-adam-lane/
> [AUDIO] Like it or Not, Huawei is the Indispensable Tech Company in Africa
>
> *[EDITOR’S NOTE: This episode was recorded before the United States
> government announced that it would blacklist Huawei and blocked the company
> from using Google’s Android operating system and other apps.]*
>
> It is hard to overstate Huawei’s singular importance in the development of
> Africa’s information technology sector. Over the past ten years the
> company, often armed with state-backed loans from China, has built
> significant portions of Africa’s IT infrastructure, everything from
> networking to broadband connectivity to new cloud data centers in places
> like Egypt and South Africa. 70% of all 4G networks across the continent
> were reportedly built by Huawei.
>
> But while Huawei’s presence in Africa is pervasive it’s also
> controversial. Allegations that Huawei was involved in Chinese spying
> efforts against the African Union prompt similar questions like those being
> raised by the United States who challenge the company’s independence from
> both the Chinese Communist Party and the Chinese government.
> “The U.S. is going to have to be strategic about how they approach this
> challenge. You can’t just blunder in and say, ‘It’s us or them.’ China does
> provide things that the continent needs.” — Joshua Meservey, Heritage
> Foundation senior analyst
> <https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/03/19/for-africa-chinese-built-internet-is-better-than-no-internet-at-all/>
>
> Although African stakeholders contend that security and privacy concerns
> surrounding Huawei are important, most do not believe they are paramount
> issues. Instead, access to affordable, high-quality telecommunications
> infrastructure is much more important.
>
> But now that the United States is closing in on the company, blocking
> Huawei from using the Android operating system, African telecom operators
> are likely starting to worry about what happens if Washington similarly
> blacklists Huawei’s use of components that are used in all that networking
> gear now running their phone and data networks.
>
> If Huawei is forced out of those markets, it could be cataclysmic for
> African telcos who would find it difficult, if not impossible, to switch to
> American, Korean or European vendors.
>
> The bottom line is that African telecommunications operators now rely on
> Huawei gear, making the Chinese company truly indispensable in the
> operation of their networks.
>
> Huawei, like almost every Chinese company, is notoriously averse to
> interacting with the media and rarely grants extended, on the record
> interviews with no pre-conditions.  So, it was a bit of a surprise when
> Adam Lane, senior public affairs director for Huawei Kenya, offered to
> appear on the podcast. He joins Eric & Cobus for a wide-ranging discussion
> on all aspects of the company’s operations in Africa and what the mood is
> like inside the firm.
>
> *Show Notes:*
>
> ·        *IT Web Africa*: Safaricom describes Huawei issue as ‘worrying’
> <http://www.itwebafrica.com/kenya/245917-safaricom-describes-huawei-issue-as-worrying> by
> Vincent Matinde
>
> ·        *Daily Nation*: What Huawei restriction means for Kenya and
> Africa
> <https://www.nation.co.ke/news/What-Huawei-restriction-means-for-Kenya-/1056-5124102-4g7e18z/> by
> Aggrey Mutambo
>
> ·        *Business Insider South Africa*: If you own a Huawei phone in
> South Africa, here is everything you need to know about the Google crisis
> <https://www.businessinsider.co.za/huawei-news-in-south-africa-what-is-happening-with-my-phone-2019-5> by
> Phillip de Wet
>
> ·        *Foreign Policy*: For Africa, Chinese-Built Internet Is Better
> Than No Internet
> <https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/03/19/for-africa-chinese-built-internet-is-better-than-no-internet-at-all/> at
> All by Amy Mackinnon
>
> About Adam Lane:
> <https://www.africahealthbusiness.com/speakers/adam-lane/>
>
> At Huawei since 2014, and based in Nairobi since 2016, Adam is currently
> responsible for working with governments, intergovernmental organizations,
> NGOs, the media and other stakeholders with a focus on the Kenya and East
> Africa region. Adam helps these groups understand how to use ICT for
> Development in their strategies, policies and programs; as well as
> developing partnerships and cross-sector collaboration with various actors
> in the ICT ecosystem including social enterprises. Adam has a strong focus
> on digital health in the region and is also actively engaging with those in
> the Internet of Things space.
>
> Previously, Adam was based in Huawei’s HQ as a Director for Corporate
> Sustainable Development responsible for Huawei’s global flagship project to
> bridge the digital divide as well as thought leadership on the digital
> divide. In 2015 after an extensive research effort around the world, Adam
> published Huawei’s white paper on Digital Enablement summarizing the
> challenges and solutions to bridging the digital divide (
> www.huawei.com/minisite/digital-enablement). He then set-up a new digital
> divide project related to e-health in Kenya building on the findings from
> this white paper working with a Kenyan social enterprise and helping them
> scale up their e-health project.
>
>
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> The Kenya ICT Action Network (KICTANet) is a multi-stakeholder platform
> for people and institutions interested and involved in ICT policy and
> regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for reform in the ICT
> sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled growth and development.
>
> KICTANetiquette : Adhere to the same standards of acceptable behaviors
> online that you follow in real life: respect people's times and bandwidth,
> share knowledge, don't flame or abuse or personalize, respect privacy, do
> not spam, do not market your wares or qualifications.
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-- 
SMM

*"Better a patient person than a warrior, one with self-control than one
who takes a city." Prov 16:32*
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