[kictanet] Kenya' Road Safety Status

Fri May 18 08:13:08 EAT 2012

Thank you.  It is gratifying to note the drop in casualties, injured, etc
between 2003 and 2005 - I think that is attributable to the "Michuki
rules".

Curious to know what happened between 1977 and 1979 to cause a drastic drop
(looks like 100% y-o-y) in "serious injuries per 100 casualties"? (in the
"Crash survival rates chart).

Looking at "Road risk travel patterns" - where it shows the "fatalities per
100,000 vehicles" seems to show an all time low (since 1963) in 2011.  I
think to "read" this accurately we'd perhaps want to:
1 - Compare the population growth rate vs growth rate of vehicles on the
road.  If the human population has grown faster, then naturally the
fatalities per 100k vehicles will be lower - a distortion I think.
2 - Between 1963 and 2011 there have been more roads built, more towns
developed, etc ergo more time spent on the road, longer distances travelled
collectively, greater time spent on the roads, etc and perhaps higher
probabilities of accidents happening.  Also I would like to think the types
of roads themselves increase the risks of accidents by speeding - higher
chances of fatalities on smooth tarmac than on a lumpy murram back road.

Just my two bits.  However, some of the listers feel ICT can help with the
issue of Thika Road - but your stats esp for 2003-2005 CLEARLY show that
slight changes to the traffic code and proper enforcement can help turn
this around.   So lets pass the buck to the minister of transport, the
traffic police etc.

On 17 May 2012 18:00, Eric Aligula <jairah at kippra.or.ke> wrote:

> Listers****
>
> ** **
>
> As you debate the very grave road safety situation in Kenya, we would wish
> to share this preliminary information from a study we are conducting on the
> accuracy of road safety data.  Good data is critical for effective policy
> formulation, implementation and evaluation.  Anecdotal evidence suggests a
> significant level of underreporting, compounded by errors in other
> complimentary data sets.****
>
> ** **
>
> However, on the basis of what is available, we aver that the major problem
> in respect of road safety in Kenya is a human problem.  That is our weakest
> link. How to deal with it is key.****
>
> ** **
>
> It is very broad brush and we welcome feedback even as we look for answers
> from Thika Road.****
>
> ** **
>
> Kind regards****
>
> ** **
>
> Eric Aligula Magolo, PhD****
>
> *Programmes Coordinator & Ag. Head, Infrastructure and Economic Services
> Division*
>
> *Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis (KIPPRA)*
>
> *P.O. Box 56445, 00200 Nairobi, Kenya
> Telephone:       +254-20-2719933/4
> Fax:                +254-20-2719951
> E-mail:            jairah at kippra.or.ke
> URL:              www.kippra.org
> *
> [image: Description:
> http://a4.sphotos.ak.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ak-ash4/315921_2204829722683_1305583717_32015056_8138703_n.jpg]
> **
>
> *Proudly Kenyan, Kenyan by Nature!***
>
> “In the long history of the world, only a few generations have been
> granted the role of defending freedom in its hour of maximum danger. I do
> not shrink from this responsibility……….I welcome it.”****
>
> *John F. Kennedy *
>
> “To allow other people’s assessment of you to determine your own
> self-assessment is a very big mistake” ****
>
> *Columbia University President Lee Bollinger*
>
> "Far better to dare mighty things, to win glorious triumphs, even though
> checkered by failure, than to take rank with those poor spirits who neither
> enjoy much nor suffer much, because they live in the gray twilight that
> knows not victory, nor defeat."****
>
> *Theodore Roosevelt*****
>
> *"Ex Africa semper aliquid novi"*
>
> *“Per aspera ad astra!”* ****
>
> ** **
>
> _______________________________________________
> kictanet mailing list
> kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke
> http://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/listinfo/kictanet
>
> Unsubscribe or change your options at
> http://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/options/kictanet/francis.hook%40gmail.com
>
> The Kenya ICT Action Network (KICTANet) is a multi-stakeholder platform
> for people and institutions interested and involved in ICT policy and
> regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for reform in the ICT
> sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled growth and development.
>
> KICTANetiquette : Adhere to the same standards of acceptable behaviors
> online that you follow in real life: respect people's times and bandwidth,
> share knowledge, don't flame or abuse or personalize, respect privacy, do
> not spam, do not market your wares or qualifications.
>

-- 
Francis Hook
+254 733 504561
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/pipermail/kictanet/attachments/20120518/752db534/attachment.htm>
-------------- next part --------------
A non-text attachment was scrubbed...
Name: image003.jpg
Type: image/jpeg
Size: 3399 bytes
Desc: not available
URL: <https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/pipermail/kictanet/attachments/20120518/752db534/attachment.jpg>