[kictanet] Ndemo's Presidential Debate Final Report?

David Otwoma otwomad at gmail.com
Fri Nov 4 07:55:42 EAT 2011


Dear Dr. Ndemo,

Thank you for being one of the mpost accessible and forthright top
civil servant in our beloved Kenya. I will restrict my comments only
on energy. You say....

> For this to work we must first deal with energy as I said as a prerequisite.

100% with you here as energy is an enabler not only for realizing
V2030 goals but basically to meet the MDG so that our people have a
decent life.

Last time I attempted to engage, you nicely challenged us to watch
'Field of Dreams'  whose theme paraphrased for the subject matter is
"If you build energy generation capacity, it will be consumed".  It
was pleasant too that you repeated the message when we held the 2nd
National Energy Conference last month at KICC being modest when
requesting a minimum of 500 MWe for Konza smart city.

The ONE KENYA, POTENTIAL AND POSSIBILITIES…write up misses important
matters discussed. I will use only one area. This is my beef with
point 10....	Energy

For Konza Smart City as an example, it will be essential for the
industries there to have firm power available. This can come from
burning oil (which is too expensive now as we import it and the
petroleum industry is conveniently confused so as to serve vested
interests), burn coal (and in Kitui we have reserves that can be
exploited to provide potentially above 2,000 MWe) and/or go nuclear
(our Least Cost Power Development Plan (LCPDP) aims to realize 1,000
MWe in 2012). Using futuristic architecture and smart grid all
buildings at Konza city and future ones should utilize natural light
and tap into solar energy. The latter can be extended to all future
houses constructed for residential and other purposes and again using
smart grid owners would use what they can consume and sell to
distribution companies (sadly at the moment only KPLC is a distributor
although Energy Act of 2006 encourages and provides an enabling
environment for other distributors to step forward.

Just for the audience here firm power can not be provided by solar,
wind, hydro etc. for example because this sources are not 100%
available as industry needs electricity 24/7.

In conclusion, those 5 points need to be increased please to include
what we have in the LCPDP for firm power i.e.

1. geothermal energy 5,040 MWe (3,780 MWe  to 5,600 MWe)
2.  nuclear energy 4,000 MWe (3,000 Mwe to 9,000 MWe)
3.  coal energy 2,400 MWe ( 1,200 MWe to 3,900 MWe)

The values in brackets are the low to high scenario cases. Wind we
have for high case scenario 2,000 MWe and the grand total capacity for
high case scenario is 26,480 MWe. If we factor in reserve margin of
not less that 15% we have to generate 30,452 MWe by 2030.

I have to admit that your projection that we need in excess of 40,000
MWe to be a middle level economy is spot on but have to confess my
team member on the LCPDP has not been able to convince the others to
buy into the idea....but we are still discussing. At the moment we are
outnumbered and out flanked but we know we are on the right side of
history and shall eventually prevail.

All the best.

David


On 11/1/11, bitange at jambo.co.ke <bitange at jambo.co.ke> wrote:
> Grace,
> Although the manifesto has the ingredients of "my Presidency" it is not
> coherent.  My main objective was to create a knowledge society where
> science becomes the centre point of our development.  With Internet
> everywhere in another few months, we can easily begin to use Internet as a
> development tool that will not only propel our country into a service
> economy but also help create unprecedented efficiencies in government.
>
> As you are aware capitalism is under the greatest test world over and
> there seems to be lack of leadership from traditional ideologues.  It is a
> great chance for us to show the way since we do not have legacy issues as
> it relates to ideology.  Just like Franklin Rosefelt did during the great
> depression, there is need to weave a bit of socialism into capitalism.  By
> this I mean we shall take care of three most important social problems of
> our time.  This is education, health and housing.  We shall make Internet
> a human right issue then pumb lots of content through it to schools and
> create a level playing field for all.
>
> For this to work we must first deal with energy as I said as a
> prerequisite.  Resources to undertake these projects will come from the
> efficiencies we create in government when we automate every record and
> open up thegovernment through the open data initiative.  Here you will
> create an environment for innovation.  Further you create jobs especially
> in the BPO sector.  Other areas will include gaming, software development
> and animation.
>
> Much of the animated content would focus on all syllabi of all African
> countries for educational content.  Of the $84 billion market, we shall
> first target10 percent of that market.  The gaming industry we also target
> some 5 percent of more than $120 billion industry.
>
> As we develop housing, we shall work to create smarter cities with the aim
> of fighting decease through prevention.  The aim is to limit the more than
> 20 billion shillings used in testing for malaria and typhoid and also
> avoid taking people to hospital and changing the health paradigm from
> curative to prevention.
>
> The world has given us the opportunity to begin to think big but we must
> do the basics like controlling our population growth.  It does not auger
> well for us to grow at the rate we are at the moment when we already have
> a problem with food security.  Whenever your people are food insecure, it
> dents your confidence greatly.
>
> We shall have a clear foreign policy with more emphasies on Africa.  Our
> growth is more dependent on Africa as we move forward.  We must
> de-emphasize our dependency on Europe for our economic development and
> start fighting for apace here in Africa.  If we grow our business in
> Africa, we shall rebuild not only our image but confidence levels.  This
> is what all other candidates lack.
>
> You realize I have not said much about Asia.  This is because we can fifgt
> them without suffering as much as we would if we were to ignore the
> Western world.  This is far more complex to state here.
>
> I will write more later.  Just starting to listen to UK Prime Minister,
> David Cameron.
>
>
> Regards
>
>
> Ndemo
>
>>
>>
>>
>> Dr Ndemo
>>
>> Greetings.
>>
>> Please refer to the attached summary of the issues you raised during the
>> 'Ndemo for President Campaign'. Its been a hectic time for us considering
>> we were all busy with the IGF.
>>
>> We are now in the process of finalizing this and other reports. We have
>> noted that there were two questions that you did not answer. Do you think
>> you could respond to them so that you allow us to finalize? You can also
>> react to the summary and ofcourse any lister is free to react/respond.
>>
>> The two questions:
>> 1. How does the government alleviate the fear of making the wrong
>> decision(s) and are there any measures in place for success and tolerance
>> for failure within government?
>>
>> 2. How would you ensure public officers are provided with freedom to make
>> choices, to make mistakes, know the options for redress, and put an exit
>> strategy in place should things go wrong?
>>
>> A great week to you and to all the listers.
>>
>> Rgds
>> GG
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> people and institutions interested and involved in ICT policy and
> regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for reform in the ICT
> sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled growth and development.
>
> KICTANetiquette : Adhere to the same standards of acceptable behaviors
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> not spam, do not market your wares or qualifications.
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