[kictanet] What should the Investment Policy Be?

mwananchi at hushmail.com mwananchi at hushmail.com
Tue Oct 21 08:10:13 EAT 2008


Walu, 

That was actually PS Ndemo's proposal in 2007 and it appears to 
have been part of the proposed ICT bill. It was:

 What we are saying is that a foreign investor needs time to
 (get to) know whom he can work with," Ndemo says. "In three
 years he can do a private placement or in five years do an
 IPO (initial public offering) or introduce employee option
 plans, but they must give 30 per cent to locals."

It is good that PS Ndemo is sharing details about the foreign 
investors and what they actually said, contrary to what was 
reported about the companies not wanting to partner with Kenyans.

Lost in this debate is the wide scope of the ICT sector. Some 
businesses such as BPOs don't tend to be capital intensive projects 
requiring upwards of greater than US$5 million. BPOs bring in 
inflows and foreign exchange earnings into the country. The same 
case with manufacturing through exports even though  those tend to 
be capital intensive. I will return to these two points shortly in 
regards to the application of FDI policies.

Lets visit some of the points raised by PS Ndemo. I believe we are 
getting closer to tackling some of the real causes of these 
problems or obstacles. 

1. The case where a foreign investor is tied to non-performing 
locals in Telecom operator licensing more so those conducted 
through public procurement procedures:

The problem can be easily solved by CCK amending its tender 
specific rules or the law as applicable to:
 
  a) Keep the current provision of not changing the nature of the 
consortium prior to the announcement of the tender outcome. This is 
to prevent manipulation of the evaluation process by the lead 
applicant or technical operator who may defect to other consortia 
in the middle of evaluations after private or political lobbying. 
     
  b) Change the current provision addressing the post tender 
results to allow the removal of any equity participant without 
consequence to the licence when the regulator has satisfied itself 
that there is a valid case of a failure to contribute capital to 
meet licence fee requirements. 
     
     The poison pill however should be that the removal of the 
technical partner should certainly be fatal to the ability of the 
consortium to roll out. The lead applicant if its not the technical 
operator should only be replaced under extreme circumstances. These 
provisions however should not be abused to engage in unrelated 
shareholder battles other than those involving the ability to 
contribute to licence fee payments. 
     
  c) Allow a consortium to take on additional investors after the 
tender results and before roll out of the licence following 
approval by the regulator in cases where the regulator is satisfied 
that capital constraints are a hindrance to paying for the licence 
or roll out. 

  d) If all else fails, allow Government intervention as outlined 
by the PS in early 2007 (can be improved on) except where the 
technical partner/foreign investor is the cause of the failure 
through application by the investor to the Government. Other 
options include the Government taking an equity stake in trust to 
prevent the collapse of the investment where all else has failed 
and the investor is short on capital to cover the local component. 
This would prevent the failures of Reliance and Vtel as the PS 
mentions.

2. Reform and strengthen the regulator as an institution with a 
very strong emphasis on financial due diligence during public 
procurement tenders. 

Remove any and all loopholes in existing procedures to restore and 
enhance bidder confidence in the process. 

In this and other regards the Global Communication and Information 
Technology Policy Division of the World Bank could be approached to 
play a key advisory role based on its expertise: 
http://www.worldbank.org/ict/policy

Noted above were references to BPO's and manufacturers. The growth 
of which has somewhat stagnated if not yet to take off 
(manufacturing). Given the ICT board's recent initiatives regarding 
BPOs, shouldn't we give local operators a chance to harness these 
new opportunities?

The use of blanket policy without specificity should be avoided if 
possible. Take for instance the following varying characteristics 
of a telecom operator, a BPO and a manufacturing facility:

a) The BPO and Manufacturer export goods and services while a 
Telecom operator more often than not will serve a domestic market 
solely. 

b) Telecom projects build significant infrastructure as do 
Manufacturers. 

c) All three without exception create local jobs.

d) Out of the 3, BPOs and Manufacturing are budding if not yet to 
bud industries in Kenya.

e) Manufacturers and BPOs can primarily be located in EPZs. 

The policies PS Ndemo referred to were announced in conjunction 
with the intention to licence a 5th mobile operator within the next 
18 months. One might as well have assumed the policy adjustments 
were being made for a 100% foreign owned operator to enter the 
mobile telephony market. In which case one would be justified as 
was the case, to ask who the foreigners were and if they indeed 
demanded these adjustments to suit their business ambitions 
including the pre-planning of an upcoming tender.

Now that more has been revealed, it is apparent that some 
exemptions from policy are needed rather than blanket rules and 
regulations. Below are some additional suggestions:

a) Temporarily lift the local component requirement for the first X 
number of manufacturers to set up shop in the country. However 
provide additional incentives for including local components both 
in shareholding and the manufacturing process.  Local equity 
participants need not provide cash as they could provide capital 
inputs such as land and physical facilities. The government could 
give free land as an incentive if the manufacturing facility was 
set up in areas targetted for development for instance. 
   
b) Evaluate BPO requests for exemption on a case by case basis 
after demonstration that the local equity component could not be 
filled (See PS Ndemo's 2007 proposal as a starting point). A 
blanket, inflexible policy could have the potential effects of 
foreign BPO's fleeing from rising costs elsewhere to potentially 
upstage the efforts of indigenous BPOs as well as the ICT board. 
This should not be misread to mean that competition is unwelcome.

c) Make no changes as pertains to Telco's except as suggested above 
for tendering procedures. Adopt something similar to PS Ndemo's 
original suggestion.

d) Seek the World Bank's advice as suggested above. This does not 
mean succumbing to arm twisting rather it means drawing upon the 
World Bank's experience and expertise in an area where it has 
advised several Governments facing similar matters: 
http://www.worldbank.org/ict/policy

All in all there should be some key incentives granted for 
investors who voluntarily include locals in entity equity 
participation.     
 
Peterson 

On Fri, 17 Oct 2008 10:59:27 +0000 John Walubengo <jwalu at yahoo.com> 
wrote:
>Plse lets hear more opinions on this issue. I heard one opinion 
>that in the vent local investors are unable to raise funding, we 
>could allow the foreing investor get in at 100% ownership on 
>condition that they offload 20% to local investors within  3-
>5years.  Is this workable?
>
>Yet another opinion was that local investors do have the funds - 
>its just NOT structured i.e. well consolidated and cordinated. I 
>think this may also be true if the recent Safaricom IPO is 
>anything to go by. So it looks like we do have the funds for ICT 
>investments while at the same time we dont! Where is the catch, 
>bottleneck? How could this be resolved?
>
>walu.
>--- On Fri, 10/17/08, bitange at jambo.co.ke <bitange at jambo.co.ke> 
>wrote:
>
>> From: bitange at jambo.co.ke <bitange at jambo.co.ke>
>> Subject: What should the Investment Policy Be?
>> To: jwalu at yahoo.com
>> Cc: bitange at jambo.co.ke, "KICTAnet ICT Policy Discussions" 
><kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>
>> Date: Friday, October 17, 2008, 11:22 AM
>> Dear Listers,
>> A number of you have written to me off-list seeking to know
>> the
>> organizations that have sought excemption from the 20%
>> local equity
>> partcipation.
>> 
>> These are four of the World's largets call centers and
>> two ICT equipment
>> manufacturers.  They have said very clearly that they do
>> not want to go
>> through what some of the investors in telecoms sector went
>> through or are
>> going through.  By this they mean local
>> "Investors" who fail to raise
>> their part of the bargain.  We failed thrice to get the SNO
>> simply because
>> our local investors could not live up to their promises
>> (Vtel, Reliance
>> etc).  This is an annormally in the current policy that
>> does not allow the
>> investor to seek for another local investor in the event of
>> a disagreement
>> in the first marriage (Do not read Econet since law is
>> never applied
>> retrospectively).
>> 
>> Any progressive policy would give a chance to other people
>> instead of
>> forcing investors to stay in a marriage that does not bear
>> fruit.  You
>> recall in past meeting we have called for such investments
>> to seek for
>> partnership at the stock exchange.  This would mean then
>> that the current
>> policy is changed to allow that in the event there is a
>> disagreement, the
>> foreign investor can seek for a nother partner or better go
>> to the stock
>> market.
>> 
>> My responsibility among others is to ensure that we achieve
>> vision 2030
>> objectives as presicribed in the vision.  In order to
>> achieve the targets,
>> especially of getting at least 50,000 youth into BPO sector
>> in the next
>> three years, we must get these bigies.  This is what
>> Ireland, India and
>> Philipines did.
>> 
>> Regards
>> 
>> 
>> Ndemo.
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> > Hey Folks,
>> >
>> > I have lurked in the background for a while and like
>> Wainaina I got a bit
>> > lost in the exchanges.  But I think one fundamental
>> thread in all this -
>> > despite the muddy exchanges - is the question of how
>> do want to engage
>> > with Foreign Investors?  JM and others may have a
>> point here - despite
>> > their strong language.
>> >
>> > So maybe to bring benefit out of all these, we could
>> indulge for a day or
>> > two on the Policy we want as far as Foreign Direct
>> Investments (FDI) into
>> > our ICT industry are concerned.
>> >
>> > Correct me if am wrong but I believe the Government
>> position/policy on
>> > this has been that the Foreign investor MUST
>> incorporate a local investor
>> > at minimum ratio 20%(local) to 80%(foreign)
>> ownership/equity.  I think the
>> > members who feel that this should be changed have
>> cases/examples where the
>> > local equity/investor failed to come up with their 20%
>> capital and so the
>> > opportunity for investment disappears. On the other
>> hand, other members
>> > feel that local investors are abundantly rich and can
>> come up with even
>> > over 50% of any capital/equity required to invest in
>> the industry.
>> >
>> > I honestly dont know which side is right and which one
>> is wrong - but what
>> > I do know is that there exists cases where the local
>> investors have failed
>> > to meet their capital requirements - hence the need to
>> review or
>> > interrogate whether this policy is detrimental or
>> indeed beneficial to our
>> > industry.
>> >
>> > Plse lets have objective comments that are devoid of
>> personal attacks and
>> > we shall make progress. Otherwise we begin to sound
>> like a broken record.
>> >
>> > walu.
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > --- On Thu, 10/16/08, gachuhi anthony
>> <gachuhi.anthony at gmail.com> wrote:
>> >
>> >> From: gachuhi anthony
>> <gachuhi.anthony at gmail.com>
>> >> Subject: Re: [kictanet] PS Ndemo, ECONET Scandal
>> aand Vested Interests
>> >> To: jwalu at yahoo.com
>> >> Cc: "KICTAnet ICT Policy Discussions"
>> <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>
>> >> Date: Thursday, October 16, 2008, 8:16 AM
>> >> Moderator
>> >> Is there a way off having an online poll to know
>> where we
>> >> stand maybe
>> >> from there we may be able to know who is for or
>> against the
>> >> policies
>> >> being discussed.
>> >> Then we can give reasons as I don't think this
>> a list
>> >> to decide who is
>> >> more kenyan than the other its about what will
>> affect us
>> >> all
>> >> Tony
>> >>
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> On 10/16/08, Wainaina Mungai
>> >> <wainaina at madeinkenya.org> wrote:
>> >> > Dear all,
>> >> >
>> >> > What is the desired outcome of this very
>> energised
>> >> thread? (Select one)
>> >> >
>> >> > A: That the PS (I&C) announce that
>> policies shall
>> >> be developed in an
>> >> > open, transparent and consultative manner. He
>> also
>> >> must organise a
>> >> > forum to kickstart non-emotive talks by
>> mid-November.
>> >> >
>> >> > B: That PS Ndemo resigns and is replaced with
>> a person
>> >> of your choice.
>> >> >
>> >> > C: That the Econet licence, Kencall licence
>> and
>> >> related MoUs,
>> >> > contracts signed by PS (I&C) be
>> cancelled.
>> >> >
>> >> > D: That all stakeholders Govt., KICTANET,
>> KIF, CA, etc
>> >> organise an
>> >> > "ICT Investment" policy forum to be
>> held in
>> >> Nairobi around mid-
>> >> > November 2008.
>> >> >
>> >> > I hope this shall help us focus on defining
>> and
>> >> achieving a common
>> >> > goal so that we desist from personal attacks
>> on
>> >> integrity, racial
>> >> > profiling and so on...
>> >> >
>> >> > Good day,
>> >> > Wainaina
>> >> >
>> >> > On 10/16/08, Joseph Manthi
>> <jmanthi at gmail.com>
>> >> wrote:
>> >> >> Edith,There are some useful lessons - but
>> these
>> >> lessons do not include:
>> >> >>
>> >> >> 1. How to give away your national
>> treasures - like
>> >> bandwidth - to foreign
>> >> >> entities just because they say they can
>> not do any
>> >> business with local
>> >> >> entrepreneurs. In fact I know this for a
>> fact, you
>> >> would never get a
>> >> >> license
>> >> >> to operate in UAE if this was your
>> argument.
>> >> Further to this lesson I
>> >> >> would
>> >> >> like to point to these additional
>> countries that
>> >> would laugh you out of
>> >> >> town
>> >> >> if you made that argument - US (some
>> businesses
>> >> like Airline, Military and
>> >> >> Defense, Telecommunications (not ISP),
>> Radio &
>> >> TV), India, Singapore,
>> >> >> Malaysia, Taiwan, Hong Kong, China, the
>> whole of
>> >> Middle East, South
>> >> >> Africa,
>> >> >> Japan (especially Japan)
>> >> >>
>> >> >> 2. How not be conned. Kenya seems to
>> heading there
>> >> with its eyes opened.
>> >> >> When a man approaches a woman, it would
>> be a very
>> >> stupid woman, who
>> >> >> knowing
>> >> >> what a man is capable of, to accept the
>> BS that
>> >> the man is feeding her.
>> >> >> And
>> >> >> if she does then she deserves what she
>> gets. Kenya
>> >> will get what it
>> >> >> deserves
>> >> >> and very soon. A good example is Russia
>> and its
>> >> oligarchs - all members of
>> >> >> the Forbes Richest.
>> >> >>
>> >> >> 3. Great leadership is necessary to grow
>> a
>> >> country. A leadership with
>> >> >> intestinal fortitude to say no under
>> pressure. Top
>> >> to bottom,
>> >> >>
>> >> >> 4. That the local mwananchi can invest in
>> their
>> >> own country and manage its
>> >> >> growth
>> >> >>
>> >> >> 5. That a great nation looks upon its
>> diaspora to
>> >> grow it - a la Israel
>> >> >> and
>> >> >> India
>> >> >>
>> >> >> 6. That a great nation does not wait to
>> be raped
>> >> twice - We seem to be
>> >> >> following a process that will guarantee
>> our raping
>> >> despite how Kenyan some
>> >> >> members of this committee think they are.
>> Its just
>> >> a matter of time before
>> >> >> they pick up their bags and leave. I
>> really do not
>> >> think that as a
>> >> >> national
>> >> >> planner I should be putting my eggs in
>> that
>> >> basket.
>> >> >>
>> >> >> Joe
>> >> >>
>> >> >> On Wed, Oct 15, 2008 at 4:55 PM,
>> >> <eadera at idrc.or.ke> wrote:
>> >> >>
>> >> >>> Anyone has taken the time to
>> thoroughly study
>> >> the secret behind
>> >> >>> Dubai's tremendous growth? (U.A.E
>> in
>> >> general). There are some useful
>> >> >>> lessons!
>> >> >>>
>> >> >>>
>> >> >>> >
>> >> >>> >---- Original Message ----
>> >> >>> >From: j.maina at ymail.com
>> >> >>> >To: eadera at idrc.or.ke
>> >> >>> >Subject: Re: [kictanet] Fwd:  PS
>> Ndemo,
>> >> ECONET Scandal aand Vested
>> >> >>> >Interests
>> >> >>> >Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 09:03:50
>> -0700
>> >> (PDT)
>> >> >>> >
>> >> >>> >>Lizette
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>I think that you have
>> racially
>> >> inclined your mind.
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>When did KENCALL directors
>> become
>> >> Kenyans? After getting good
>> >> >>> >friends to bribe their way to
>> this
>> >> country. And let me tell you that
>> >> >>> >the money the so called investors
>> are
>> >> using are Kenyan money not
>> >> >>> >money from foreign banks.
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>They have come and borrowed
>> from
>> >> Kenyan banks. How much does the
>> >> >>> >most profitable telecomms
>> companies leave
>> >> in this country, very small
>> >> >>> >amount. We have Telecomms
>> companies which
>> >> are on their marks. They
>> >> >>> >have very inferior systems and
>> dont
>> >> actually deliver in service but
>> >> >>> >make billions and run away with
>> the
>> >> billions.
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>Dada Lizette, we know that
>> there are
>> >> Kenyans who are white, black
>> >> >>> >coloured and all but know that I
>> am a
>> >> mixed race Kenyan and really
>> >> >>> >sad when our brotehrs have to
>> suffer
>> >> because of bad policies from
>> >> >>> >people like PS
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>JM
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>----- Original Message ----
>> >> >>> >>From: Lizette Kraft
>> >> <lfkraft at gmail.com>
>> >> >>> >>To: j.maina at ymail.com
>> >> >>> >>Cc: KICTAnet ICT Policy
>> Discussions
>> >> <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>
>> >> >>> >>Sent: Tuesday, October 14,
>> 2008
>> >> 1:52:07 PM
>> >> >>> >>Subject: [kictanet] Fwd:  PS
>> Ndemo,
>> >> ECONET Scandal aand Vested
>> >> >>> >Interests
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>Just my two pennies worth
>> here.
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>Kenya is not an Island that
>> it can
>> >> survive on its own even through
>> >> >>> >local investment. Most times we
>> dont have
>> >> the funds. I do agree
>> >> >>> >though about the Government and
>> banks not
>> >> supporting local investors
>> >> >>> >with loans etc. They must start
>> giving
>> >> them the opportunity to setup
>> >> >>> >local expertise and turn them in
>> money
>> >> making ventures, if only they
>> >> >>> >wouldn't fleece their own
>> companies.
>> >> Even America, the giant needs
>> >> >>> >investors!!! You all have a valid
>> point
>> >> but use it for the best
>> >> >>> >interests of Kenya and its people
>> first
>> >> and foremost. Not just self
>> >> >>> >interest for the few.  And by the
>> way
>> >> Kenyans come in all shapes,
>> >> >>> >sizes, COLOURS, and creed. So
>> please
>> >> don't generalise who is kenyan
>> >> >>> >and who is not!!!  Kencall
>> directors and
>> >> owners are Kenyan and not
>> >> >>> >outsiders if I understand
>> correctly. When
>> >> we are taxed whether
>> >> >>> >individually or coorporately, the
>> money is
>> >> used for Kenya and Kenyans
>> >> >>> >and not for outsiders who
>> invested!
>> >> Forcing local partnership in
>> >> >>> >foreign owned companies has
>> >> >>> >> its negative and positive
>> effects.
>> >> >>> >>This needs to be look at more
>> >> seriously to make it a win-win
>> >> >>> >situation. It has been known in
>> the past
>> >> that foreign investors with
>> >> >>> >forced local partnership have
>> been
>> >> subjected to threats and
>> >> >>> >intimidation by the local
>> partners when
>> >> they wanted more than their
>> >> >>> >fare share, (given to them mind
>> you). Thus
>> >> the weariness o
>> >> >>> >>of being forced now. This
>> does not
>> >> attract any investor. But the
>> >> >>> >foreigners should not fleece the
>> country
>> >> either!
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>Let us have some constructive
>> >> critisism without being racially
>> >> >>> >inclined. Fight to make things
>> right no
>> >> matter what but without
>> >> >>> >pinpointing nationalities or
>> colours of
>> >> people.
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>On 10/7/08, John Maina
>> >> <j.maina at ymail.com> wrote:
>> >> >>>
>> >>
>> >>http://www.wananchiforums.com/showthread.php?p=3150#poest3150
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>>
>> >>
>> >>_______________________________________________
>> >> >>> >>kictanet mailing list
>> >> >>> >>kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke
>> >> >>>
>> >>
>> >>http://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/listinfo/kictanet
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>This message was sent to:
>> >> lfkraft at gmail.com
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>> options at
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>> >>
>> 
>>http://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/options/kictanet/lfkraft%40gma
>il.
>> >> >>> >com
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>--
>> >> >>> >>Lizette Kraft
>> >> >>> >>P.O. Box 18488, 00500
>> >> >>> >>Nairobi, Kenya
>> >> >>> >>Cell: 0722-800362
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>> >>
>> >> >>>
>> >> >>>
>> >> >>>
>> >> >>>
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>> >> >>
>> >> >>
>> >> >>
>> >> >> --
>> >> >> Joseph Manthi
>> >> >> CEO
>> >> >> MEO Ltd
>> >> >> http://www.meoltd.com
>> >> >>
>> >> >
>> >> > --
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