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http://www.nation.co.ke/Features/DN2/Smart-idea-but-how-many-will-buy-it/-/957860/1679374/-/ji3ppk/-/index.html
</div><div><br></div><div><span style="font-size: 12px;">Yet another article that's not exactly pro-Konza. </span></div><div><span style="font-size: 12px;"><br></span></div><div><span style="font-size: 12px;">My views</span></div><div><span style="font-size: 12px;"><br></span></div><div><span style="font-size: 12px;">[1] The notion of BHAG's always being good is flawed e.g. Brasilia, India has *several* failed SEZ's, SA has failed SEZ's. Because it's audacious and worth striving towards, it does not mean that it will succeed. </span></div><div><span style="font-size: 12px;"><br></span></div><div><span style="font-size: 12px;">[2] We have a feedback fallacy going on about Konza, that negative feedback is criticism and positive feedback is "feedback". The truth of the matter is that we cannot be sure that Konza will succeed. Feedback (both negative and positive) needs to be countered. </span></div><div><span style="font-size: 12px;"><br></span></div><div><span style="font-size: 12px;">[3] Goodhart's Law - </span>http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodhart%27s_law - "When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure." </div><div><br></div><div><span style="font-size: 12px;">[4] The Net Present Value - You cannot calculate NPV on a future figure - we can, however, rely on the fact that we probably won't experience deflation in our economy, what's more likely is inflation - so the figure might actually be larger, which actually supports Kwame's views… </span></div><div><br></div><div><br></div><div><span style="font-size: 12px;"><br></span></div>
<p style="color: #A0A0A8;">On Wednesday, January 30, 2013 at 1:57 PM, Ali Hussein wrote:</p>
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<span><div><div><meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"><div>To add on to what you have said Kivuva this is what (to paraphrase Management Guru, Jim Collins) a Big Hairy Audacious Goal looks like and the old economic models or thought processing are obsolete. We must strive to beat the rules of Gravity - only then can we achieve greatness. This is not a white elephant in the fashion of Turkwell Gorge..<br><br><div>Ali Hussein</div><div><div style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; ">CEO | 3mice interactive media Ltd</div><div style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; ">Principal | Telemedia Africa Ltd</div></div><div style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; "><br></div><div><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.296875); -webkit-composition-fill-color: rgba(175, 192, 227, 0.230469); -webkit-composition-frame-color: rgba(77, 128, 180, 0.230469); ">+254 773/713 601113</span></div><div><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.292969); -webkit-composition-fill-color: rgba(175, 192, 227, 0.230469); -webkit-composition-frame-color: rgba(77, 128, 180, 0.230469); "><br></span></div><div><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.292969); -webkit-composition-fill-color: rgba(175, 192, 227, 0.230469); -webkit-composition-frame-color: rgba(77, 128, 180, 0.230469); ">"The future belongs to him who knows how to wait." - Russian Proverb</span></div><div><br></div>Sent from my iPad</div><div><br>On Jan 30, 2013, at 10:49 AM, Kivuva <<a href="mailto:Kivuva@transworldafrica.com">Kivuva@transworldafrica.com</a>> wrote:<br><br></div><blockquote type="cite"><div><span>Kwame Owino is not presenting the facts accurately. Actually, he's not</span><br><span>thinking critically.</span><br><span></span><br><span>Of the ~$8.5billion that will be spent on the next 20years, GoK will</span><br><span>spend a very tiny fraction of that amount since the bulk of that</span><br><span>capital will be sourced and utilized by firms that will setup at</span><br><span>Konza. You cannot start calculating Net Present Value now of capital</span><br><span>that will be employed over two decades, by hundreds of different</span><br><span>entities, that would never have converged if Konza was not a reality.</span><br><span>Without Konza, that capital would have gone somewhere else, say South</span><br><span>Africa, or Rwanda.</span><br><span></span><br><span>The net result of the project is positive for Kenya since "what do we</span><br><span>stand to loose?"</span><br><span></span><br><span>-- </span><br><span>______________________</span><br><span>Mwendwa Kivuva</span><br><span>For</span><br><span>Business Development</span><br><span>Transworld Computer Channels</span><br><span>Cel: 0722402248</span><br><span><a href="http://twitter.com/lordmwesh">twitter.com/lordmwesh</a></span><br><span><a href="http://transworldAfrica.com">transworldAfrica.com</a> | Fluent in computing</span><br><span>kenya.or.ke | The Kenya we know</span><br><span></span><br><span>_______________________________________________</span><br><span>kictanet mailing list</span><br><span><a href="mailto:kictanet@lists.kictanet.or.ke">kictanet@lists.kictanet.or.ke</a></span><br><span><a href="https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/listinfo/kictanet">https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/listinfo/kictanet</a></span><br><span></span><br><span>Unsubscribe or change your options at <a href="https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/options/kictanet/info%40alyhussein.com">https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/options/kictanet/info%40alyhussein.com</a></span><br><span></span><br><span>The Kenya ICT Action Network (KICTANet) is a multi-stakeholder platform for people and institutions interested and involved in ICT policy and regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for reform in the ICT sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled growth and development.</span><br><span></span><br><span>KICTANetiquette : Adhere to the same standards of acceptable behaviors online that you follow in real life: respect people's times and bandwidth, share knowledge, don't flame or abuse or personalize, respect privacy, do not spam, do not market your wares or qualifications.</span><br></div></blockquote></div><div><div>_______________________________________________</div><div>kictanet mailing list</div><div><a href="mailto:kictanet@lists.kictanet.or.ke">kictanet@lists.kictanet.or.ke</a></div><div><a href="https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/listinfo/kictanet">https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/listinfo/kictanet</a></div><div><br></div><div>Unsubscribe or change your options at <a href="https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/options/kictanet/pkariuki%40gmail.com">https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/options/kictanet/pkariuki%40gmail.com</a></div><div><br></div><div>The Kenya ICT Action Network (KICTANet) is a multi-stakeholder platform for people and institutions interested and involved in ICT policy and regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for reform in the ICT sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled growth and development.</div><div><br></div><div>KICTANetiquette : Adhere to the same standards of acceptable behaviors online that you follow in real life: respect people's times and bandwidth, share knowledge, don't flame or abuse or personalize, respect privacy, do not spam, do not market your wares or qualifications.</div></div></div></span>
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