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<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'>Some good research
from the World Bank…<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'>Harry<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'>African eDevelopment
Resource Centre<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'>3rd Floor, <st1:Street
w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">Nelleon Place</st1:address></st1:Street><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on"><font size=3
color=navy face=Garamond><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;
color:navy'>Raphta Road</span></font></st1:address></st1:Street><font
color=navy face=Garamond><span style='font-family:Garamond;color:navy'>,
Westlands<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><st1:address w:st="on"><st1:Street w:st="on"><font size=3
color=navy face=Garamond><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;
color:navy'>PO Box</span></font></st1:Street><font color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-family:Garamond;color:navy'> 49475</span></font></st1:address><font
color=navy face=Garamond><span style='font-family:Garamond;color:navy'> 00100<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on"><font size=3
color=navy face=Garamond><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;
color:navy'>Nairobi</span></font></st1:City><font color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-family:Garamond;color:navy'>, <st1:country-region w:st="on">Kenya</st1:country-region></span></font></st1:place><font
color=navy face=Garamond><span style='font-family:Garamond;color:navy'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'>Cel +254 725 650044<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'>Land +254 20 4453445<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'><a
href="http://www.africanedevelopment.org/">www.africanedevelopment.org</a><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'><a
href="http://egov-notes.blogspot.com/">My Blogg</a></span></font><span
class=MsoHyperlink><u><font color=blue><o:p></o:p></font></u></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'> <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>***********************************************************</span></font><font
color=navy face=Garamond><span style='font-family:Garamond;color:navy'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=blue face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:blue'>March 2008 <st1:place
w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Capacity</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType
w:st="on">Building</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> Opportunities</span></font><font
color=navy><span style='color:navy'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'>Fiber Optics: 3-6</span></font><font
color=navy><span style='color:navy'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'>VSAT Field
Engineering: 17-19</span></font><font color=navy><span style='color:navy'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'>GIS 26-28<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'>Book Now, Limited
spaces available</span></font><font color=navy><span style='color:navy'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face=Garamond><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Garamond;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
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<p class=MsoNormal><b><font size=2 face=Tahoma><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:bold'>From:</span></font></b><font size=2
face=Tahoma><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma'>
Hsladovich@worldbank.org [mailto:Hsladovich@worldbank.org] <b><span
style='font-weight:bold'>On Behalf Of </span></b>research@worldbank.org<br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>Sent:</span></b> Wednesday, February 27, 2008
8:09 PM<br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>Subject:</span></b> eAlert --> WPS 4516.
Determinants of a Digital Divide in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Spatial Econometric
Analysis of Cell Phone Coverage, by Piet Buys, Susmita Dasgupta, Tim Thomas,
and David Wheeler (February 2008)</span></font><o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'><br>
<a
href="http://econ.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=469435&pagePK=64165236&piPK=64165141&theSitePK=469382"><span
style='text-decoration:none'><img border=0 width=612 height=36 id="_x0000_i1025"
src="cid:_2_079DFA28079DF204005E364E852573FC"></span></a><br>
</span></font><font size=1 face=sans-serif><span style='font-size:7.5pt;
font-family:sans-serif'> </span></font> <br>
<b><font size=2 face=sans-serif><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif;
font-weight:bold'>Determinants of a Digital Divide in Sub-Saharan Africa: A
Spatial Econometric Analysis of Cell Phone Coverage</span></font></b> <br>
<a
href="http://econ.worldbank.org/external/default/main?pagePK=64165259&theSitePK=469372&piPK=64165421&menuPK=64166093&entityID=000158349_20080212114658"><font
size=2 face=sans-serif><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif'>Policy
Research Working Paper 4516,</span></font></a><font size=2 face=sans-serif><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif'> Piet Buys, Susmita Dasgupta,
Tim Thomas, and David Wheeler (February 2008)</span></font> <br>
<br>
<a
href="http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/IW3P/IB/2008/02/12/000158349_20080212114658/Rendered/PDF/wps4516.pdf"><b><font
size=2 face=sans-serif><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif;
font-weight:bold'>Download Working Paper (26 pages)</span></font></b></a> <br>
<br>
<font size=2 face=sans-serif><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif'>Most
discussions of the digital divide treat it as a "North-South" issue,
but the conventional dichotomy doesn't apply to cell phones in Sub-Saharan
Africa. Although almost all Sub-Saharan countries are poor by international
standards, they exhibit great disparities in coverage by cell telephone
systems. </span></font><br>
<br>
<font size=2 face=sans-serif><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif'>Buys,
Dasgupta, Thomas and Wheeler investigate the determinants of these disparities
with a spatially-disaggregated model that employs locational information for
cell-phone towers across over 990,000 4.6-km grid squares in Sub-Saharan
Africa. Using probit techniques, a probability model with adjustments for
spatial autocorrelation has been estimated that relates the likelihood of
cell-tower location within a grid square to potential market size (proximate
population); installation and maintenance cost factors related to accessibility
(elevation, slope, distance from a main road, distance from the nearest large
city); and national competition policy. </span></font><br>
<br>
<font size=2 face=sans-serif><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif'>Probit
estimates indicate strong, significant results for the supply-demand variables,
and very strong results for the competition policy index. Simulations based on
the econometric results suggest that a generalized improvement in competition
policy to a level that currently characterizes the best-performing states in
Sub-Saharan Africa could lead to huge improvements in cell-phone area coverage
for many states currently with poor policy performance, and an overall coverage
increase of nearly 100 percent.</span></font> <br>
<br>
<a href="http://econ.worldbank.org/programs/trade"></a><font size=2
face=sans-serif><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif'>Produced
by the </span></font><a
href="http://econ.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/EXTDEC/EXTRESEARCH/EXTPROGRAMS/EXTIE/0,,menuPK:475531~pagePK:64168176~piPK:64168140~theSitePK:475520,00.html"><font
size=2 face=sans-serif><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif'>Sustainable
Rural and Urban Development ResearchTeam</span></font></a><font size=2
face=sans-serif><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif'> in </span></font><a
href="econ.worldbank.org/research"><font size=2 face=sans-serif><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif'>Development Research Group</span></font></a><font
size=2 face=sans-serif><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:sans-serif'> (</span></font><a
href="http://econ.worldbank.org/programs/trade"><font size=2 face=Helvetica><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Helvetica'>http://econ.worldbank.org/programs/rural-urban)</span></font></a>
<br>
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