[Kictanet] Day 6 of 10: Best Business & Regulatory Modelforprovisioning OFC(EASsy, TEAMs, etc)

Kai Wulff kai.wulff at kdn.co.ke
Tue Jan 30 18:34:00 EAT 2007


Well Alex,

KDN is not an ISP and is not an IPTV company. We lay the fiber and on that the bandwidth is not shared.

Same happens on our Gateway: We sell 1:1 to the ISPs.

I think if we have an infrastructure that can (but must not) be used for multiple purposes, the cost of every single service will go down.

Last time I counted we hav about 40 active ISP licenses in the country, multiplied by 40 (that is the factor India has a higher population), this is equivalent to India having 1600 ISPs. I don't think the number of ISPs is the limiter.

India produced vast amounts of local content, this is content that does NOT have to be purchased from outside! Even in India you have a dominance of certain players and exectly those were the ones driving down prices since they could use the economics of scale!

I strongly believe the consumer has the power to decide, as long as there is no regulated monopoly!

Rgds

Kai
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Alex Gakuru 
  To: kai.wulff at kdn.co.ke 
  Sent: Tuesday, January 30, 2007 14:36
  Subject: Re: [Kictanet] Day 6 of 10: Best Business & Regulatory Modelforprovisioning OFC(EASsy, TEAMs, etc)


  All:

  We have been fooled for very long by these companies.

  Take the last known CCK internet users data 1.5 million, if they actually supplied 
  clean bandwidth at the internationally accepatable  parallel sharing ration if 1:100. That is for every 1 MB a maximum of 100 share it, they calculate how much band width the telcos should be purchasing internatioanally, but they don't.

  Result, Hundreds of thousands of users are made to share very narrow bandwidths--> all connnected  "parallel", and they are told  there you have it  32/32,  64/64, 128/128 etc among others. 

  Mobile ones purchase time-based bandwidth ( as opposed to volume or kilobytes traffic) Then they decide they should bill consumers by the packet, Quite lucrative  making money out of air dont you think?

  Internationally recommended contention ratios are not followed locally and I have had very serious opposition to educating consumers to demand what ratio their ISP follows.  Of course CCK should have offered leadership here.... Expecting them to disclose this is like asking voluntary elimination of super profits.  
    
  Would you not like to have below speeds (e.g. a true 128 up and down link at 19,000?) Well, again you cannot have because CCK wont allow you, because of the market licensing, because investors would complain, because fibre is coming, because international VOIP  would adversly affect other "dorminant" players, becuase...... consumers should not enjoy low prices?

  Below are the prices available from satellites out there , and all the while we keep blaming "high satellite costs". It is not true and in any case fibre will not reach every Wanjiku in every next year in a snap. We need ISPs to purchase bandwidth from any carrier. We want competition not closed (to) competition markets. 

  <http://www.satsig.net/ivsat-africa.htm>

  Outbound speed from 128 kbps to 2048 kbps. Inbound speed from 36 kbps to 153 kbps 
  > Service price starting at 147 ?/month for 128 kbps 
  > Special new subscription of 100 ? per 1 GB with 2 Mbit/s, to be spent in 3 months 
  > Many different subscription choices (25) including shared unlimited, shared quota and leased line. 
  Very high quality service and QoS management 
  Kai:

  There is a trick some infrastructure companies are using to fool consumers  to sign up to bad agreements.

  See below:-

  IPTV And Home Television Offerings Are Telcos Best Stealth
  Solution To Bypass Any Net Neutrality Resistance: Wake Up
  by: Robin Good

  http://www.masternewmedia.org/news/2007/01/29/iptv_and_home_television_offerings.htm

  In this article I report about the very negative experience of
  installing the newest Internet high-speed offering cum IPTV
  solution in my home as to avoid others not only the same
  frustrations and the waste of time and money, but also to share
  the fact that what many may still perceive as an upgrade offer
  to their Internet connectivity, is nothing else but your own
  very unconscious capitulation to net neutrality, as well as
  your official consent to install a proprietary IPTV system at
  your premises.

  <snip>

  A telecom company, who is also a large Internet provider, needs
  only a little marketing campaign to convince its users and
  potential clients that with about $50 a month they can get the
  most unique offer to come around in recent times: super-high-
  speed Internet access, (the customer representative who called
  me to explain this offer and clarify any doubts said
  specifically 20 Mbps), home television channels with free and
  pay-per-view content including movies and live sports, and even
  a video-phone!

  <snip>

  IPTV is nothing else but the ability of your provider to have
  you buy into a mix of Internet access and private DRMed content
  for which it installs dedicated reception/decoding equipment at
  your end.

  By doing this you basically give up into a partnership into
  which your Internet provider is basically serving itself a
  reserved channel and abundant bandwidth to have you see and pay
  for this premium content. Further, the telco locks you into
  having to use its own equipment (as mentioned my old standard
  ADSL modem does not work anymore - as mentioned, I have
  basically upgraded myself into a "proprietary network" without
  realizing it - and the telco has created a "de facto"
  proprietary dedicated IPTV infrastructure and delivery channel
  to my home/office).

  The moment you realize this, you should also realize how you
  yourself have now sold your line to the very enemy of net
  neutrality. You have sold and paid for a telco that will devote
  the greatest and better part of the bandwidth you have
  supposedly leased, to serve to you its own very content. (A
  little slower internet surfing will not be noticeable when most
  of you have already been long spoiled by bad and inconsistent
  service from these very companies.)

  The telco can therefore boast the delivery of a bandwidth it is
  in fact reserving for the greatest part for its commercial
  interests while serving you with just the same bandwidth (or
  less) you were getting before.

  In this scenario, you and I become the very unconscious allies
  to these companies while providing them with the very means to
  install and deploy their own private IPTV delivery
  infrastructure into our homes.

  Mucheru, 

  The cost of internet would drop this afternoon, if CCK wanted that to happen.
  I have a very serious problem with licensing layers upon layers of local bandwidth resellers and I wonder what "processing" they actually do.

  Because we are competing with India wrt outsourcing, consider their below case.
  I hope after reading it you will all understand why there is an very big need to ensure the cable benefits in this order 1. Consumer  2. Entrepreneurs (especially local after the Institute of Economic Affairs study that sought to find out if liberalising Kenya's telecoms benefitted locals. (my guess is that CKK auctions consumers to highest bidder)

  INDIA:
  The ISP services were a monopoly of the earstwhile government owned
  International carrier, VSNL from 1995 onwards. These services were
  opened up for private sector competition in November 1998.
  In the 3 years, that the Internet services were a monopoly, there were
  only 250,000 subscribers in India.

  The licenses that were introduced in Nov 1998 (internet telephony was
  disallowed at that time), were kept free of any license fee
  obligations. Bank Guarantees were only required to be submitted, to
  ensure Licensees started services within 18-24 months. From 2003, the
  license fee was to be a nominal amount of Rupee 1.0 only (just about 2
  cents).

  VSNL had a state guaranteed monopoly on international connectivity
  till 2004 (was however done away with in 2002 and coincided with
  opening up of restricted Internet Telephony through an amended ITSP
  license).

  A virtual Zero license fee, along with provisions allowing ISPs to set
  up their own last mile links, setting up of International Satellite
  Gateways and later Submarine Cable links, thus allowing ISPs to
  connect through any carrier of his choice, resulted in more than 750
  licenses that were granted between 1998 and 2005. About 350 ISP
  licenses still exist today.

  Intense competition was thus introduced and coupled with a fall in
  Domestic and Internatinonal bandwith prices gradually, saw the
  Internet Subscriber base rise up phenomenally from 250,000 only to 8.6
  million subscriber base (as of Sept 2006). In addition to growth and
  penetration of Internet increasing, subscribers gained through massive
  price reductions, introduction of various valued services and
  currently India has some ambitious targets for Internet/Broadband
  going further.



  Kai Wulff <kai.wulff at kdn.co.ke> wrote:
    Hmm ...

    we had only 2 years of free market ... All infrastructure must be put in 
    place and somehow it needs to be paid for. I know some ISPs are selling 
    Butterfly unlimited for 3000 KSH a month! ADSL2+ is around the corner (saw 
    offers for 5000 inclusive of TV .. ). For sure speeds are not what they 
    could be with submarine cable .. now we are back to DAY1.

    Kai

    ----- Original Message ----- 
    From: "Lucy Kimani" 
    To: 
    Sent: Tuesday, January 30, 2007 11:43
    Subject: Re: [Kictanet] Day 6 of 10: Best Business & Regulatory Model 
    forprovisioning OFC(EASsy, TEAMs, etc)


    Bw. Micheru:

    This consumer says we are nowhere near where we should and can be. Paying
    $19 a month for DSL is what I was used to a couple of months ago and now
    I am paying x300 for lower speeds! I think the answer lies somewhere in
    between.. Yes competition works, but there needs to be a "big brother"
    watching & willing to enforce whatever regulations are passed.

    LK


    > Alex,
    >
    > You are taking a dangerous route here. Remember KPTC? It was run for the
    > people by the people. The legacy issues from those days are still haunting
    > TKL today. When you say cost based, remember how many employees they
    > hired?
    > Remember Safaricom before it was privatised and a strategic investor
    > brought
    > in? They has 20,000 subscribers and barely covered Nairobi and MSA and
    > some
    > highly political locates on their 071 analogue service. Today Safaricom is
    > in places we did not even know existed, thanks to competition from Celtel.
    > You can now get phone for 3,000/- shillings compared to 250,000/- before.
    > As
    > a consumer of the mobile services. I am certainly better off. I trust when
    > you speak for consumers you are also speaking for me a consumer.
    >
    > Remember Internet services 5 years ago used to cost - to operators $8,000
    > per 64Kbps (half circuit) today the same $64Kbps is less than $200 to the
    > consumer. Consumers are getting Internet services on the GSM network on a
    > pay as you go basis, 300/- for 30MB and so on. Surely Alex as a consumer I
    > am better of.
    >
    > Competition works!!! Let's not be too hasty to discount progress that is
    > being made. We must be seen to support the progress. The beneficiaries are
    > all of us.
    >
    >>
    >> The only question inour mind now is, will CCK allow us to connect to
    >> their
    >> national backbone also at cost? Losts of services (SOA) are waiting....
    >>
    >
    > Finally is there any information you have that CCK will own the national
    > backbone. Please let me know, I would need to have a major discussion with
    > Eng Waweru (DG) I am certain the regulator is not going to operate a
    > cable.
    > This would be against all things one can be against :-)
    >
    > --
    > Joseph Mucheru
    > Executive Director
    > mucheru at wananchi.com
    >
    >
    >> From: Alex Gakuru 
    >> Reply-To: Kenya ICT Action Network - KICTANet 
    >> Date: Mon, 29 Jan 2007 09:53:53 -0800 (PST)
    >> To: 
    >> Subject: Re: [Kictanet] Day 6 of 10: Best Business & Regulatory Model
    >> for
    >> provisioning OFC(EASsy, TEAMs, etc)
    >>
    >> Cable is cheap and consumers will build their own infrastructure and
    >> operate
    >> on cost recovery basis. Both of you private sector and government have
    >> long
    >> let us down and in any case when government and private sector agree
    >> 100%
    >> Enrons (or is it "Kenlons" ) surface and consumers suffer endlessly.
    >>
    >> We need a "socialist" cable run by nuns and monks to transition from the
    >> "open
    >> and shut" internet in Kenya today. The rest are just turf wars (govt,
    >> telecos,
    >> "experts " et al) protecting hitherto imagined markets in perpetuity.
    >>
    >> The only question inour mind now is, will CCK allow us to connect to
    >> their
    >> national backbone also at cost? Losts of services (SOA) are waiting....
    >>
    >> Those with lots of cash can build their own parallel cables because
    >> nobody is
    >> stopping them, is there? And we need the redudancy anyways.
    >>
    >> /Alex
    >>
    >> John Walubengo wrote: Alan,
    >>
    >> I think what Eric meant was that even though the fiber
    >> cable infrastructure would be operated at cost - it would
    >> still be open to competition i.e. the Regulatory framework
    >> should allow for multiple, complimentary as well as
    >> competing submarine fiber cable.
    >>
    >> In other words, lets have the EASsy, TEAMs and Flag running
    >> accross E.Africa, as long as each one of them Operates
    >> their cable at cost and allowing other SERVICE/APPLICATION
    >> providers equal access...
    >>
    >> Unfortunately, this model is not quite easy to execute
    >> because it demands a total overhaul of the existing Telco
    >> market strutures. The current regulatory and business
    >> structures in most of the regional countries allow and
    >> probably encourage Operators to own the backbone
    >> (essential) infrastructure and still operate accross all
    >> the service layers.
    >>
    >> For example Telkom Kenya, owns the country-wide Backbone
    >> infrastructure as well as the International Gateway and is
    >> licensed to compete in all the Service areas i.e through
    >> its ISP subsidiary, its Wireless Subsidiary, etc.
    >>
    >> Safaricom, Celltel (the 2 mobile operators) have also
    >> joined into the fray along the same-principles i.e. owning
    >> the Backbone infrastructures and continuing to compete
    >> accross the SERVICE/APPLICATION layers or sectors.
    >>
    >> And the (good/bad?)news is that the prevailing situations
    >> seem to have served quite well if seen in terms of
    >> accelerated growth it has brought to the Industry. So the
    >> question would be, why try and change all that? Why should
    >> the provisioning of the submarine OFC disrupt the
    >> comfortable status quo within the national telecoms market
    >> structures? I see this as the biggest obstacle towards an
    >> otherwise good Open Access model...
    >>
    >> walu.
    >>
    >>
    >>
    >> --- Alan Finlay wrote:
    >>
    >>> Hi Eric
    >>>
    >>> Earlier John said that the Open Access model put forward
    >>> that access to the
    >>> fibre optic should be at cost, and the money made at the
    >>> service end only.
    >>>
    >>> Your version says that access to the cable can be
    >>> competitive - or that
    >>> entities that invest in the cable's infrastructure must
    >>> be allowed to make a
    >>> profit out of the cable.
    >>>
    >>> Is this correct? Can you elaborate a bit on the
    >>> differences between these
    >>> two 'open access' positions as you understand them?
    >>>
    >>> Thanks
    >>> Alan
    >>>
    >>>
    >>> ----- Original Message -----
    >>> From: "Eric Osiakwan"
    >>> To:
    >>> Sent: Monday, January 29, 2007 11:42 AM
    >>> Subject: Re: [Kictanet] Day 4 of 10: What are the
    >>> Existing/Sugested
    >>>
    >>>
    >>>> Dear All,
    >>>>
    >>>> The Open Access Model makes two important distinctions
    >>> which the
    >>> regulatory policy
    >>>> environment must capture and enforce;
    >>>> 1. the distinction between infrastructure and services
    >>> so that
    >>> infrastructure providers are
    >>>> NOT allowed to also provide SERVICES and vice versa.
    >>>>
    >>>> 2. owership of the infrastructure (in layer 1) should
    >>> not guarantee any
    >>> form of fair or unfair
    >>>> access to capacity for the provision of service (in
    >>> layer 2).
    >>>>
    >>>> 2. that there is no discrimination within and between
    >>> both camps so that
    >>> infrastructure
    >>>> providers are able to establish clear and transparent
    >>> trading
    >>> relationships with all service
    >>>> providers and vice versa. Within the infrastructure or
    >>> service layer there
    >>> should be no
    >>>> restriction on COMPETITION and SERVICE DELIVERY.
    >>>>
    >>>> This creates an ecosystem of various operators
    >>> interconnecting seemlessly
    >>> and ensuring
    >>>> there is interoperability.
    >>>>
    >>>> Eric here
    >>>>
    >>>>
    >>>> NB: Becuase my preference is for the "first"
    >>> infrastructure entity to be
    >>> owned in a multi-
    >>>> stakeholder approach, the financial mechansims that are
    >>> employed may also
    >>> impose some
    >>>> regulations from the financial market that can only be
    >>> detailed on a case
    >>> by case basis.
    >>
    >> --- John Walubengo wrote:
    >>
    >>> Hi All, following the w/end, it maybe appropriate to
    >>> recollect and review how far we have gone in this online
    >>> discussion.
    >>>
    >>> Themes Reminder
    >>> 1) Why OFC (1day)
    >>> *it is cheaper(than Satellite option), it is faster, more
    >>> reliable, more secure, has unlimited bandwidth capacity.
    >>>
    >>> 2) Existing Business Models for OFC provisioning (2days)
    >>> *Privately provisioned
    >>> *Consortium provisioned
    >>> *Open Access provisioned
    >>>
    >>> 3) Existing/Appropriate Regulatory Models for OFC (2days)
    >>> *No-Regulation
    >>> *Some Regulation
    >>> *Full Regulation
    >>>
    >>> 4) Best Model (Business+Regulatory) for E. Africans
    >>> (2days)
    >>>
    >>
    >>>
    >>> 5) Projected Impact on Stakeholders (2days)
    >>>
    >>
    >>>
    >>> 6) Reconciling Stakeholder interests/Conclusions (2days)
    >>>
    >>
    >>>
    >>> So today we start of on Point 4, and wish to hear views
    >>> on
    >>> what would be the preferred Business and Regulatory model
    >>> for provisioning the Optical Fiber Cable on the E.African
    >>> Coast. Feel free to comment on a previous theme as well.
    >>>
    >>> walu.
    >>> --- Alex Gakuru wrote:
    >>>
    >>>> Walu,
    >>>>
    >>>> I dug this interesting read off google search a while
    >>>> back (78 page)
    >>>>
    >>>> Open Access Models
    >>>> Options for Improving Backbone Access in Developing
    >>>> Countries (with a Focus on Sub-Saharan Africa)
    >>>> Final Draft
    >>>> August 2005
    >>>> An infoDev Technical Report
    >>>> prepared by
    >>>> S P I N T R A C K A B
    >>>> DROTTNINGGATAN 99,
    >>>> 113 60 STOCKHOLM, SWEDEN
    >>>> PHONE: +46-8-528 00 310 FAX: +46-8-528 00 315
    >>>> WWW.SPINTRACK.COM INFO at SPINTRACK.COM
    >>>>
    >>>> <
    >>>>
    >>>
    >> http://www.infodev.org/files/2569_file_OPEN_ACCESS_REPORT.pdf
    >>>>>
    >>>>
    >>>> /Alex
    >>>>
    >>>> John Walubengo wrote: Found an answer
    >>>> to my own question <
    >>>> talked about emailing instead of talking to oneself?>>
    >>> -
    >>>> anyway...The proposed regulatory framework for EASsy
    >>>> (which
    >>>> purportedly is going the Open Access way) seems to be
    >>>> covered here....
    >>>>
    >>>> ~~~~00-copied below---
    >>>>
    >>>> East Africa: EASSy Project Model Approved
    >>>> Thursday, 22 June 2006
    >>>> All countries participating in the development of the
    >>>> East
    >>>> African Sub Marine Cable System (EASSy) have now agreed
    >>>> to
    >>>> implement the project on an 'open access basis,'
    >>>> overcoming
    >>>> a hurdle that had initially threatened to derail the
    >>>> project.
    >>>> The Policy and Regulatory Adviser of Nepad e-Africa
    >>>> Commission, Dr Edmund Katiti said that the South
    >>> African
    >>>> government and Nepad's ICT experts had persuaded the
    >>>> countries that were objecting to the change in the
    >>>> project
    >>>> to realise the limitations of the consortium model
    >>> which
    >>>> they had preferred.
    >>>>
    >>>> The EASSy project involves laying of a fibre optic
    >>> cable
    >>>> from Mtunzini north of Durban, through landing stations
    >>>> along East Africa to Port Sudan. The cable will link
    >>> with
    >>>> the countries' national networks at the landing
    >>> stations.
    >>>> Others would subsequently be interconnected through the
    >>>> networks of landlocked countries like Uganda, Rwanda,
    >>>> Burundi and D.R Congo.
    >>>>
    >>>> When the project was first conceived, it was to be
    >>>> primarily a private sector project. The core investors
    >>> in
    >>>> the cable infrastructure would determine the retail
    >>>> prices
    >>>> of bandwidth. The project was to be owned and operated
    >>> by
    >>>> a
    >>>> group of companies that would generate financing; an
    >>>> arrangement known as the consortium model. The South
    >>>> African government and Nepad have recently argued that
    >>>> the
    >>>> consortium model would not achieve the objective of the
    >>>> project - bringing down the costs of
    >> communication in
    >>>> the region. They suggested that the model be altered to
    >>>> "open access", where any operator or institution in the
    >>>> participating countries would be allowed to acquire
    >>>> equity
    >>>> if it can afford the agreed contribution.
    >>>>
    >>>> In the open access model, the cable would be owned and
    >>>> operated by the Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV), a
    >>> company
    >>>> created to manage the network and establish the price
    >>> of
    >>>> bandwidth. An Intergovernmental Assembly is to be
    >>> formed
    >>>> to
    >>>> regulate the costs that the SPV would charge operators.
    >>>> Rwanda will host the headquarters of the SPV in part as
    >>>> recognition of their commitment to the development and
    >>>> promotion of ICTs in the country.
    >>>>
    >>>> After the agreement reached earlier in June, the Nepad
    >>>> e-Africa Commission is working towards the signing of a
    >>>> protocol that would form the legal framework of the
    >>> EASSy
    >>>> project. The Commission has already prepared a project
    >>>> plan, which it has sent to the member governments to
    >>>> review
    >>>> and comment, a process that take until August, when the
    >>>> protocol signing is anticipated. Construction is
    >>> expected
    >>>> to commence by the end of 2006.
    >>>>
    >>>> Katiti said they hope to raise a quarter of the funding
    >>>> from equity acquisition payments by companies from the
    >>>> region and then raise the remainder from African
    >>>> financial
    >>>> institutions: African Development Bank, Comesa's PTA
    >>>> Bank,
    >>>> East African Development Bank and others.
    >>>>
    >>>> Source: The Monitor - WDR/Intelecon Regulatory News
    >>>>
    >>>
    >> http://www.regulateonline.org/index.php?option=content&task=view&id=780&Itemid
    >> =32&relaItemid=877
    >>>>
    >>>> walu.
    >>>>
    >>>> --- John Walubengo wrote:
    >>>>
    >>>>> What form/level of regulation would be required? Eric
    >>>>> plse
    >>>>> on Open Access, plse elaborate maybe in three
    >>>> paragraphs.
    >>>>> And maybe also Kai would have a comment on Regulation
    >>>>> with
    >>>>> regard to a Private sector submarine OFC
    >>>>> provisioning....oh
    >>>>> yes, Kihanya (the learned one) may have a point
    >>> too...
    >>>>>
    >>>>>
    >>>>> walu.
    >>>>> nb: Govt officials are also encouraged to say
    >>> something
    >>>> -
    >>>>> members are informed to treat their comments as their
    >>>>> personal and not official postions ;-).
    >>>>>
    >>>>> --- Lucy Kimani wrote:
    >>>>>
    >>>>>> Regulation is definately required as even the big
    >>>> boys
    >>>>> of
    >>>>>> the west are
    >>>>>> regulated, in a capitalistic environment (read
    >>>>>> cat-throat) self-regulation
    >>>>>> has not worked, and is sure a recipe for disaster.
    >>>>>>
    >>>>>> LK
    >>>>>>> OK. Looks like Fridays are still fridays -even
    >>>>> online.
    >>>>>> Very
    >>>>>>> little activity. Heard from only Harry and
    >>>> Alex...is
    >>>
    >> === message truncated ==>
    >>
    >>
    >>
    >> ______________________________________________________________________________
    >> ______
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    >> See all the new 2007 cars at Yahoo! Autos.
    >> http://autos.yahoo.com/new_cars.html
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